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雷哥考研 > 题库 > 2020年管理类联考11月公益模考英语(二)测试卷 > 阅读理解A

Text 4 With American women increasingly delaying having children, fewer U.S. babies were born in 2018 than in any year since 1986, according to provisional data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). About 3.7 million babies were born in the U.S. last year, 2% fewer than in 2017, according to the NCHS. Birth numbers fell across racial groups, with declines charted among white, black, Hispanic, Asian and American Indian women. In 2018, the U.S. saw not only a 32-year low in total births, but also a record-setting dip in national fertility rates. Based on 2018 data, a group of 1,000 women would be expected to have 1,728 babies in their collective lifetimes, the data say—well below the 2,100 required to replace aging generations without accounting for immigration and emigration, according to the NCHS. The report, however, deals only with a snapshot in time and may not represent births foregone. “It’s simply births that have been postponed,” says Brady Hamilton, a statistician demographer at the NCHS and lead author of the new report. “Women generally do have, in the end, two children”—they may just have them later in life than did women of previous generations. In other words, the data don’t suggest that Americans are actually getting less fertilebiologically, says Hans-Peter Kohler, a sociology professor at the University of Pennsylvania. Instead, Kohler says, the declining birth rates seem to be driven mostly by sociological reasons, as couples choose to delay starting a family so they can stay in school or the workforce longer, either by choice or out of financial necessity. The NCHS’ latest numbers support that theory: Birth rates fell for younger age groups, but rose slightly for women ages 35 to 44. Population replacement is an important marker of a country’s public and economic health. If the number of older adults dying and aging out of the labor market is far larger than the number of babies born to eventually take their place, a country’s economy and social services can become unsustainable. But compared to other countries of similar socioeconomic status, like Japan and many in Europe, Kohler says the U.S.’ birth rate is keeping relatively good pace with its rate of population aging. “At the moment, there is no need to panic or see these trends as overly dramatic,” Kohler says. In fact, some of the trends detailed in the NCHS report “are welcome news” for public health, Hamilton says, because most teenage pregnancies are “mistimed” or “unwanted”. He notes that the downturn in birth rates for teenagers likely reflects more widespread use of effective and long-lasting forms of contraception, perhaps due to expanded access under the Affordable Care Act.

38. What could be inferred from the statements of both Hamilton and Kohler?

正确答案:暂无

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38. 推理题 【答案】A 题干:根据布雷迪.哈密顿与汉斯.皮特.科勒的陈述,我们可以推断出______ A. Old generations tended to have babies earlier than current ones.老辈人比新生代倾向于更早生育小孩 B. More and more women refuse to have babies. 越来越多的妇女拒绝生小孩 C. Current generations are less fertile than old ones. 现在的妇女没有老辈能生育 D. Current generations are suffering from greater pressure. 新生代正遭受更大压力 【解析】由关键词Hans-Peter Kohler回归原文第三段。Brady Hamilton表示“births that have been postponed-生育被推迟”,这与选项A对应,所以A正确;选项B和选项C在二者言论中没有谈及;选项D与原文“couples choose to delay starting a family so ...”表明推迟的理由,而不是遭受更大压力。

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